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How El Niño will affect winter weather in the US

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El Niño, winter, weather, US, MundoNOW
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  • How El Niño will affect weather this winter.
  • A mild and dry winter is predicted.
  • Climate uncertainty persists.

Winter is approaching, and experts are predicting El Niño’s effects this year.

Federal forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center have released their forecast.

Climate experts revealed their annual winter outlook for the United States, as we prepare for a snowy or wet season.

Everything indicates that El Niño will have a major impact, promising an unusual winter throughout the country.

El Niño will affect winter this year

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Photo: Shutterstock

According to NOAA, winter 2023-24 will be marked by the effects of what could be a powerful El Niño.

Experts see a weather pattern that will result in a mild and dry winter in much of the northern United States.

However, there is good news in the southeastern region of the country, which should experience a wetter than usual winter.

It is important to highlight that this information is the result of a detailed analysis of climate data and meteorological projections.

A warm winter

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NOAA’s forecast covers the three key months of December, January and February, known as the meteorological winter.

According to the agency, temperatures are expected to be warmer than normal in the northern United States and much of the West.

In other words, winter will not be as harsh as in previous years in these regions of the country.

The greatest chances of experiencing warmer-than-usual conditions are concentrated in places like Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, and northern New England.

Will there be cold temperatures anywhere?

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The forecast does not foresee that any part of the country will have colder temperatures than usual.

However, in the southeast, where a wetter winter is expected, it is important for communities to prepare for the possibility of heavy rain and flooding.

The El Niño phenomenon is a weather pattern that originates in the Pacific Ocean and has a global impact on the climate.

During an El Niño event, surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean are warmer than normal.

A wet winter in much of the US

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As for the precipitation that has been forecast, wetter than average conditions are more likely in northern Alaska.

This is also true in parts of the west from California to the south-central Rocky Mountains, the southern plains, the Gulf Coast, the Southeast and the lower mid-Atlantic.

«An enhanced southern jet stream and associated moisture often present during strong El Niño events supports high odds for above-average precipitation,» says Jon Gottschalck.

He added that this is especially true in the Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast states.

Preparing for uncertainty

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Wetter weather throughout the southern part of the country should help alleviate the drought in the region.

«El Niño, with its enhanced precipitation, is expected to provide drought relief to the southern U.S. during the next few months,” said Brad Pugh of the Climate Prediction Center.

The highest chances for drier than average conditions are forecast in parts of the northern Rocky Mountains.

The region around the Great Lakes, especially in Michigan and northern Ohio and Indiana, are also expected to be drier than usual, according to USA Today.

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